Monthly Market Pulse – Aug 2026

East Green — Monthly Market Pulse: August 2026

Monthly Market Pulse

Nifty Fell. The Smaller You Went, The Better You Did.

Aug’26

Nifty 50 slipped 1.1% in August, but that headline number hides most of the story. Move down the market-cap ladder and returns kept getting better: Midcap 150 was up 1.8%, Smallcap 250 up 2.6%, and Microcap 250 climbed a full 5.5%. Large and micro caps ended up moving in almost opposite directions – a gap of roughly 6.6 percentage points.

Nifty 50 -1.1% Midcap 150 +1.8% Smallcap 250 +2.6% Microcap 250 +5.5%

1-month returns by market-cap segment, August 2026

IT and Telecom Led. Power and FMCG Didn’t.

Average sector index return, August 2026

Where the money went

Mid & Smallcap IT & Telecom+6.6%
Capital Goods+5.4%
Telecommunications+4.7%
Metal+3.8%
Consumer Services+3.8%

Where it didn’t

Power-7.5%
FMCG-6.3%
Media-3.7%
Cement-3.4%
Hospitals-3.2%
  • Mid & Smallcap IT & Telecom topped the table this month. IT’s strength looks like a continuation of a move that started in July, when the sector staged a sharp recovery on better-than-feared earnings — that bottoming-out process appears to have carried into August
  • Telecom’s gain looks tied to a pickup in AI-driven capex spending, along with expectations of an industry-wide tariff hike
  • Capital Goods, Metal and Consumer Services rounded out the top five, with Metal also benefiting from a broader rebound in commodity prices. One outlier within that: Welspun Corp which landed a large pipe supply order from a US facility
  • FMCG’s fall looks tied to two pressures at once: input costs rising – inflation creeping back in India and globally, already visible in bond yields and commodity prices – combined with weakening brand pricing power that’s made it harder for companies to pass those costs on to consumers

The Rupee Stopped Falling. Has It Actually Stopped?

  • USD/INR hit an all-time high of 96.8 on May 20, 2026, driven by trade tensions, sustained FPI outflows and an oil-price spike
  • It pulled back through June, briefly retested those highs in mid-to-late July, and settled into a narrower 95.1-95.8 band through August
  • RBI’s special FCNR(B) swap facility pulled in $127.2 billion in inflows before the window closed on August 31 (total inflows across RBI’s three swap schemes: $136.4 billion)
May 1 Jun 30 Aug 31 96.8 (May 20) 95.1 (Aug 31)

USD/INR daily, May 1 – Aug 31, 2026

Watch this month:The Fed’s September 15-16 FOMC decision, and whether RBI needs to intervene again now that the FCNR(B) window has closed

East Green PMS
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